Predicting Countdown's 30th Anniversary Tournament (Part 2)

This post summarizes the findings of my Countdown 30th anniversary tournament predictions, the background to which can be found here. Below are the top 10 favourites, complete with their online ratings and their rank (out of 41) of all those competing.

Name	Rating	Rank	Win %
Conor Travers	2099	2	20%
Innis Carson	2100	1	15%
Jack Worsley	1992	5	12%
Chris Davies	1998	4	10%
Jack Hurst	2015	3	9%
Steven Briers	1960	8	8%
Kirk Bevins	1988	6	6%
Mark Deeks	1964	7	5%
Jon O'Neill	1847	13	3%
Edward McCullagh	1873	10	2%

Conor Travers and Innis Carson are the top two ranked players in the field, and the top two favourites for the title. Perhaps surprisingly, Travers is 5% more likely to win than Carson, despite their near-identical ratings and Travers having to play an extra game (having been drawn into a preliminary match). This reflects the challenge facing Carson during the first two rounds, where he faces the number 8 and (probably) number 6 seeds before meeting number 2 seed Travers in the quarter-final.

Full results can be found here where, should you feel so inclined, you can play around with the ratings and see how things change.